Advanced Drainage Systems Stock Performance

WMS Stock  USD 152.04  0.00  0.00%   
Advanced Drainage has a performance score of 7 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.02, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Advanced Drainage returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Advanced Drainage is expected to follow. Advanced Drainage Systems right now shows a risk of 1.92%. Please confirm Advanced Drainage Systems treynor ratio, expected short fall, as well as the relationship between the Expected Short fall and day typical price , to decide if Advanced Drainage Systems will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Advanced Drainage Systems are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively unsteady primary indicators, Advanced Drainage may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.77)
Five Day Return
(1.52)
Year To Date Return
1.61
Ten Year Return
565.38
All Time Return
841.42
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0047
Payout Ratio
0.1157
Forward Dividend Rate
0.72
Dividend Date
2025-12-15
Ex Dividend Date
2025-12-01
1
Disposition of 1272 shares by Thomas Waun of Advanced Drainage at 148.2969 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/11/2025
2
Heres How Much You Would Have Made Owning Advanced Drainage Systems Stock In The Last 10 Years
11/20/2025
3
Disposition of 14500 shares by D Barbour of Advanced Drainage subject to Rule 16b-3
11/25/2025
4
Disposition of 10569 shares by Robert Eversole of Advanced Drainage at 152.82 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/03/2025
5
Disposition of 1000 shares by Robert Eversole of Advanced Drainage subject to Rule 16b-3
12/05/2025
6
Thematics Asset Management Buys 53,000 Shares of Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. WMS
12/08/2025
 
Advanced Drainage dividend paid on 15th of December 2025
12/15/2025
7
Advanced Drainage Systems A Solid Year Given The Circumstances - Seeking Alpha
12/22/2025
8
Returns At Advanced Drainage Systems Are On The Way Up
12/31/2025
9
Reflecting On HVAC and Water Systems Stocks Q3 Earnings Lennox
01/05/2026
10
HVAC and Water Systems Stocks Q3 Highlights AAON
01/07/2026
11
Advanced Drainage Systems to Announce Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Results on February 5, 2026
01/13/2026
12
Will Advanced Drainage Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report
01/16/2026
13
J. Safra Sarasin Holding AG Purchases 62,809 Shares of Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. WMS
01/27/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow495.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-447.9 M

Advanced Drainage Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  13,764  in Advanced Drainage Systems on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,440  from holding Advanced Drainage Systems or generate 10.46% return on investment over 90 days. Advanced Drainage Systems is generating 0.181% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.9188% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 17% of stocks are less volatile than Advanced, and above 97% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Advanced Drainage is expected to generate 2.57 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.57 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Advanced Drainage Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Advanced Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 152.04 90 days 152.04 
about 27.18
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Advanced Drainage to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 27.18 (This Advanced Drainage Systems probability density function shows the probability of Advanced Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.02 . This entails Advanced Drainage Systems market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Advanced Drainage is expected to follow. Additionally Advanced Drainage Systems has an alpha of 0.0564, implying that it can generate a 0.0564 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Advanced Drainage Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Advanced Drainage

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Advanced Drainage Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
150.24152.16154.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
136.84154.09156.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
144.82146.73148.65
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
160.07175.90195.25
Details

Advanced Drainage Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Advanced Drainage is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Advanced Drainage's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Advanced Drainage Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Advanced Drainage within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.02
σ
Overall volatility
5.63
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Advanced Drainage Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Advanced Drainage for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Advanced Drainage Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Advanced Drainage has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 15th of December 2025 Advanced Drainage paid $ 0.18 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Wells Fargo Bullish on Masco Ahead of Q4 2025 Results Announcement

Advanced Drainage Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Advanced Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Advanced Drainage's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Advanced Drainage's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding78.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments463.3 M

Advanced Drainage Fundamentals Growth

Advanced Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Advanced Drainage, and Advanced Drainage fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Advanced Stock performance.

About Advanced Drainage Performance

Assessing Advanced Drainage's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Advanced Drainage's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Advanced Drainage is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 113.23  104.61 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.16  0.17 
Return On Capital Employed 0.18  0.10 
Return On Assets 0.11  0.12 
Return On Equity 0.25  0.13 

Things to note about Advanced Drainage Systems performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Advanced Drainage for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Advanced Drainage Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Advanced Drainage has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 15th of December 2025 Advanced Drainage paid $ 0.18 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Wells Fargo Bullish on Masco Ahead of Q4 2025 Results Announcement
Evaluating Advanced Drainage's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Advanced Drainage's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Advanced Drainage's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Advanced Drainage's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Advanced Drainage's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Advanced Drainage's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Advanced Drainage's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Advanced Drainage's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Advanced Drainage's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Advanced Drainage's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Advanced Drainage's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Advanced Stock Analysis

When running Advanced Drainage's price analysis, check to measure Advanced Drainage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Advanced Drainage is operating at the current time. Most of Advanced Drainage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Advanced Drainage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Advanced Drainage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Advanced Drainage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.